Monday, December 6, 2010

Bowl Match-up Breakdown

So which Bowls got it right and are deserving of your viewing time because the rankings of the teams are closely matched? Based on my ranking system only 3 Bowls got their match-ups correct, with a difference of -1.

1 Oregon 12 0 PAC10 BCS Title -1
2 Auburn 13 0 SEC BCS Title -1
21 South Carolina 9 4 SEC Chick-fil-A -1
22 Florida State 9 4 ACC Chick-fil-A -1
34 Miami (Fla.) 7 5 ACC Sun -1
35 Notre Dame 7 5 INDY Sun -1

And what about the other end of the spectrum. Which Bowls got it totally wrong either because of forced match-ups or just selecting on name?

19 Nebraska 10 3 BIG12 Holiday -39
58 Washington 6 6 PAC10 Holiday -39
30 Maryland 8 4 ACC Military -39
69 East Carolina 6 6 CUSA Military -39
12 Nevada 12 1 WAC Kraft Fight Hunger -41
53 Boston College 7 5 ACC Kraft Fight Hunger -41

So there you have the Top 3 and Worst 3 match-ups during the 2010-11 Bowl season. The team that got the biggest shaft is Nevada, who finished 12th in my poll (15th BCS) at 12-1, beat Boise State, but only drew Boston College (7-5) who finished 4th in the ACC Atlantic.

Now with that said, why are there 70 Bowl games? Why, after the NCAA increased the minimum number of games from 11 to 12, did the minimum number of wins remain at 6 to become bowl eligible and not increase to 7? We are now awarding mediocrity and .500 ball. And if you want to keep it at 6 wins, shouldn't teams with 8 wins get a Bowl game before a 6 win team? That's what Temple and Southern California are asking, who finished the year at 8-4 and 8-5 respectively and will be headed home for traditional semester break.

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Mythical Championship Breakdown

5 Teams have locked down their spots in the Mythical NCAA D1 Football Championship Bracket by winning their Conference Championship Game, Auburn (2), Oklahoma (9), Virginia Tech (15), UCF (27) and Miami Ohio (47). This leaves 3 openings in the 8-team bracket to be determined by the At-Large Championship Games. The remaining 6 Non-Championship Conference Champions will go head to head to determine who is worthy of the final spots. Oregon (1) will take on Troy (62), TCU (3) will match up with Connecticut (37) and Wisconsin (8) draws Nevada (12).

For posterity sake, let's imagine those games have already happened and that the top seeds won. Or someone can break out their EA Sports NCAA Football 11 and play those games out for me. But let's stick with the former. The 8-team Mythical Bracket would align as follows and would be played in the next week or two on campus of the higher seed.

Oregon (1) vs Miami Ohio (47)
Auburn (2) vs UCF (27)
TCU (3) vs Virginia Tech (15)
Wisconsin (8) vs Oklahoma (9)

From here, the 4 winners will be reseeded, hi to low, and play on New Year's Day in Semi Final action. The winners of the Semi Finals will square off a week later to determine a true National Champion. These three games will be played at neutral sites worthy of champions. Ah, if only this were true it would capture the hearts of all.

2010 Week 14

Wk14 Team (Record, SOS) [BCS]
1 Oregon (12-0, 23) [2]
2 Auburn (13-0, 22) [1]
3 TCU (12-0, 89) [3]
4 Stanford (11-1, 11) [4]
5 Boise State (11-1, 74) [11]
6 Ohio State (11-1, 77) [6]
7 Michigan State (11-1, 69) [8]
8 Wisconsin (11-1, 80) [5]
9 Oklahoma (11-2, 15) [9]
10 Arkansas (10-2, 26) [7]
11 LSU (10-2, 27) [10]
12 Nevada (12-1, 103) [17]
13 Missouri (10-2, 37) [12]
14 Oklahoma State (10-2, 50) [14]
15 Virginia Tech (11-2, 59) [15]
16 Utah (10-2, 82) [20]
17 Alabama (9-3, 29) [16]
18 Texas A&M (9-3, 25) [18]
19 Nebraska (10-3, 55) [13]
20 West Virginia (9-3, 71) [24]
21 South Carolina (9-4, 9) [19]
22 Florida State (9-4, 20) [21]
23 Hawaii (10-3, 93) [NR]
24 Navy (8-3, 86) [NR]
25 N Carolina St (8-4, 34) [NR]
26 Mississippi State (8-4, 33) [22]
27 UCF (10-3, 115) [NR]
28 Northern Illinois (10-3, 119) [25]
29 Tulsa (9-3, 105) [NR]
30 Maryland (8-4, 51) [NR]
31 Air Force (8-4, 61) [NR]
32 Southern California (8-5, 6) [NR]
33 Arizona (7-5, 8) [23]
34 Miami (Fla.) (7-5, 14) [NR]
35 Notre Dame (7-5, 12) [NR]
36 Florida (7-5, 19) [NR]
37 Connecticut (8-4, 87) [NR]
38 San Diego St. (8-4, 91) [NR]
39 Fresno State (8-4, 90) [NR]
40 Michigan (7-5, 28) [NR]
41 Pittsburgh (7-5, 40) [NR]
42 Toledo (8-4, 99) [NR]
43 North Carolina (7-5, 35) [NR]
44 Southern Miss (8-4, 108) [NR]
45 Temple (8-4, 113) [NR]
46 Iowa (7-5, 56) [NR]
47 Miami (Ohio) (9-4, 110) [NR]
48 Ohio (8-4, 118) [NR]
49 Texas Tech (7-5, 46) [NR]
50 Penn State (7-5, 49) [NR]
51 Baylor (7-5, 53) [NR]
52 Kansas State (7-5, 60) [NR]
53 Boston College (7-5, 57) [NR]
54 Arizona State (6-6, 7) [NR]
55 South Florida (7-5, 75) [NR]
56 Northwestern (7-5, 73) [NR]
57 Syracuse (7-5, 84) [NR]
58 Washington (6-6, 2) [NR]
59 Clemson (6-6, 21) [NR]
60 Georgia (6-6, 30) [NR]
61 Illinois (6-6, 42) [NR]
62 Troy (7-5, 107) [NR]
63 Army (6-5, 106) [NR]
64 Tennessee (6-6, 47) [NR]
65 Brigham Young (6-6, 48) [NR]
66 SMU (7-6, 68) [NR]
67 Georgia Tech (6-6, 65) [NR]
68 Kentucky (6-6, 70) [NR]
69 East Carolina (6-6, 62) [NR]
70 California (5-7, 5) [NR]
71 Louisville (6-6, 81) [NR]
72 Oregon State (5-7, 1) [NR]
73 Colorado (5-7, 17) [NR]
74 Iowa St. (5-7, 18) [NR]
75 Florida International (6-6, 102) [NR]
76 W. Michigan (6-6, 114) [NR]
77 Texas (5-7, 45) [NR]
78 UTEP (6-6, 117) [NR]
79 M. Tenn. St. (6-6, 120) [NR]
80 Louisiana Tech (5-7, 63) [NR]
81 Idaho (6-7, 76) [NR]
82 Indiana (5-7, 67) [NR]
83 UCLA (4-8, 4) [NR]
84 La.-Monroe (5-7, 72) [NR]
85 Marshall (5-7, 79) [NR]
86 Houston (5-7, 94) [NR]
87 Cincinnati (4-8, 31) [NR]
88 Mississippi (4-8, 32) [NR]
89 Kent State (5-7, 111) [NR]
90 Utah St. (4-8, 44) [NR]
91 Virginia (4-8, 58) [NR]
92 Purdue (4-8, 54) [NR]
93 Rutgers (4-8, 66) [NR]
94 Minnesota (3-9, 13) [NR]
95 Arkansas State (4-8, 92) [NR]
96 Wake Forest (3-9, 16) [NR]
97 UAB (4-8, 97) [NR]
98 Rice (4-8, 98) [NR]
99 Tulane (4-8, 101) [NR]
100 Duke (3-9, 38) [NR]
101 Fla. Atlantic (4-8, 100) [NR]
102 Ball State (4-8, 116) [NR]
103 Colorado St. (3-9, 39) [NR]
104 Kansas (3-9, 43) [NR]
105 Wyoming (3-9, 52) [NR]
106 Central Michigan (3-9, 85) [NR]
107 Washington State (2-10, 3) [NR]
108 La.-Lafayette (3-9, 95) [NR]
109 North Texas (3-9, 112) [NR]
110 Vanderbilt (2-10, 36) [NR]
111 UNLV (2-11, 10) [NR]
112 Bowling Green (2-10, 88) [NR]
113 New Mexico St. (2-10, 78) [NR]
114 E. Michigan (2-10, 83) [NR]
115 W. Kentucky (2-10, 96) [NR]
116 Buffalo (2-10, 109) [NR]
117 New Mexico (1-11, 41) [NR]
118 Memphis (1-11, 64) [NR]
119 San Jose State (1-12, 24) [NR]
120 Akron (1-11, 104) [NR]