Saturday, December 19, 2015

2015.12.14

So my Strength of Schedule source didn't have one ready after the Conference Championship games, so I had to wait until after the Army-Navy game to have all the data for my final rankings before bowl games begin. As usual, my rankings are very close to the College Football Playoff Committees. The only difference being they jumped Michigan State ahead of Oklahoma, simply because the Spartans participated in and won a conference championship game. Time for bowl mania to commence...

Current Ranking
Rank School (W-L, SOS) [CFP]
1 Clemson (13-0, 27) [1]
2 Alabama (12-1, 21) [2]
3 Oklahoma (11-1, 19) [4]
4 Michigan St. (12-1, 25) [3]
5 Ohio St. (11-1, 60) [7]
6 Iowa (12-1, 77) [5]
7 Notre Dame (10-2, 7) [8]
8 Houston (12-1, 100) [18]
9 Stanford (11-2, 42) [6]
10 TCU (10-2, 47) [11]
11 Florida St. (10-2, 55) [9]
12 Oklahoma St. (10-2, 50) [16]
13 North Carolina (11-2, 63) [10]
14 Northwestern (10-2, 56) [13]
15 Navy (10-2, 69) [21]
16 Toledo (9-2, 79) [NR]
17 W. Kentucky (11-2, 103) [NR]
18 LSU (8-3, 14) [20]
19 Ole Miss (9-3, 38) [12]
20 Florida (10-3, 39) [19]
21 Appalachian St. (10-2, 126) [NR]
22 Michigan (9-3, 53) [14]
23 Memphis (9-3, 52) [NR]
24 Baylor (9-3, 62) [17]
25 Oregon (9-3, 51) [15]
26 Utah (9-3, 57) [22]
27 Bowling Green (10-3, 71) [NR]
28 BYU (9-3, 72) [NR]
29 Temple (10-3, 78) [24]
30 Wisconsin (9-3, 88) [23]
31 Georgia (9-3, 82) [25]
32 Pittsburgh (8-4, 10) [NR]
33 Miami (Fla.) (8-4, 8) [NR]
34 Mississippi St. (8-4, 29) [NR]
35 San Diego St. (10-3, 128) [NR]
36 UCLA (8-4, 41) [NR]
37 Tennessee (8-4, 48) [23]
38 Marshall (9-3, 127) [NR]
39 Arkansas St. (9-3, 124) [NR]
40 Texas A&M (8-4, 59) [NR]
41 South Florida (8-4, 68) [NR]
42 USC (8-5, 6) [NR]
43 Washington St. (8-4, 73) [NR]
44 Arkansas (7-5, 15) [NR]
45 California (7-5, 17) [NR]
46 Louisville (7-5, 22) [NR]
47 Ohio (8-4, 95) [NR]
48 West Virginia (7-5, 32) [NR]
49 Texas Tech (7-5, 24) [NR]
50 Boise St. (8-4, 111) [NR]
51 Southern Miss (9-4, 123) [NR]
52 Louisiana Tech (8-4, 113) [NR]
53 Ga. Southern (8-4, 117) [NR]
54 Penn St. (7-5, 37) [NR]
55 W. Michigan (7-5, 43) [NR]
56 NC State (7-5, 54) [NR]
57 Cincinnati (7-5, 49) [NR]
58 Duke (7-5, 65) [NR]
59 Northern Illinois (8-5, 85) [NR]
60 C. Michigan (7-5, 75) [NR]
61 Air Force (8-5, 101) [NR]
62 Akron (7-5, 89) [NR]
63 Virginia Tech (6-6, 23) [NR]
64 Washington (6-6, 36) [NR]
65 M. Tenn. St. (7-5, 108) [NR]
66 Auburn (6-6, 30) [NR]
67 Kansas St. (6-6, 34) [NR]
68 Colorado St. (7-5, 118) [NR]
69 Arizona St. (6-6, 44) [NR]
70 New Mexico (7-5, 119) [NR]
71 Indiana (6-6, 45) [NR]
72 Arizona (6-6, 64) [NR]
73 Connecticut (6-6, 67) [NR]
74 Texas (5-7, 5) [NR]
75 Tulsa (6-6, 80) [NR]
76 Utah St. (6-6, 87) [NR]
77 Minnesota (5-7, 18) [NR]
78 Nebraska (5-7, 33) [NR]
79 Illinois (5-7, 28) [NR]
80 Missouri (5-7, 35) [NR]
81 Georgia State (6-6, 122) [NR]
82 Nevada (6-6, 125) [NR]
83 East Carolina (5-7, 58) [NR]
84 Virginia (4-8, 9) [NR]
85 Syracuse (4-8, 13) [NR]
86 Buffalo (5-7, 92) [NR]
87 Kentucky (5-7, 90) [NR]
88 Vanderbilt (4-8, 16) [NR]
89 San Jose St. (5-7, 106) [NR]
90 South Alabama (5-7, 96) [NR]
91 FIU (5-7, 116) [NR]
92 Rice (5-7, 115) [NR]
93 Old Dominion (5-7, 114) [NR]
94 UTEP (5-7, 120) [NR]
95 Georgia Tech (3-9, 3) [NR]
96 Rutgers (4-8, 70) [NR]
97 Iowa St. (3-9, 2) [NR]
98 Maryland (3-9, 1) [NR]
99 Wake Forest (3-9, 12) [NR]
100 Boston College (3-9, 31) [NR]
101 Troy (4-8, 102) [NR]
102 Idaho (4-8, 105) [NR]
103 South Carolina (3-9, 40) [NR]
104 Colorado (4-9, 66) [NR]
105 UL Lafayette (4-8, 121) [NR]
106 Ball St. (3-9, 61) [NR]
107 Purdue (2-10, 11) [NR]
108 Kent St. (3-9, 74) [NR]
109 Massachusetts (3-9, 86) [NR]
110 Miami (Ohio) (3-9, 81) [NR]
111 Fresno St. (3-9, 84) [NR]
112 Tulane (3-9, 83) [NR]
113 UNLV (3-9, 98) [NR]
114 FAU (3-9, 97) [NR]
115 Texas State (3-9, 99) [NR]
116 Oregon St. (2-10, 20) [NR]
117 SMU (2-10, 26) [NR]
118 New Mexico St. (3-9, 107) [NR]
119 UTSA (3-9, 110) [NR]
120 Hawaii (3-10, 94) [NR]
121 Wyoming (2-10, 91) [NR]
122 Army West Point (2-10, 109) [NR]
123 Charlotte (2-10, 112) [NR]
124 La.-Monroe (2-11, 93) [NR]
125 North Texas (1-11, 76) [NR]
126 Kansas (0-12, 4) [NR]
127 E. Michigan (1-11, 104) [NR]
128 UCF (0-12, 46) [NR]

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

2015.11.29

Conference Championship games this weekend and Army/Navy December 12, but for all intents and purposes, next week's ranking will seal the top 4's fate. Should be interesting if Top 4 all win, if there is any movement in their final positioning for playoffs. 

Right now, the CFP Committee has the two undefeated teams on one side of the bracket and the two one loss teams on the other. Could Iowa jump to 3 or even 2 with just a win or a convincing win over 5th ranked Michigan State? What happens if Alabama loses to Florida, do they drop from top 4? Could Florida leapfrog from 9 to 4? Could North Carolina move from 10 to 4 with win over Clemson? UNC's only loss was the first game of the season to a highly touted SEC conference team, albeit, it was 3-9 South Carolina.

Oklahoma is the only team without a Conference Championship game. That should solidify their Top 4 position for the playoffs as I don't see two teams leaping them in the final week. Needless to say it will be interesting. 

If you don't approve of a committee picking the teams and would rather have a system like mine determine the Top 4, here is what you should route for.

UNC over Clemson
Florida over Alabama
Michigan State over Iowa (though no one seems to give them credit so maybe keep them in there.)
Stanford over USC (CFP has them within reach if Top 4 teams all loose.)
Houston over Temple (Houston is to low in CFP ranking, but I'd like to see how far they move in my ranking.)

Current Ranking
Rank School (W-L, SOS) [CFP]
1 Clemson (12-0, 39) [1]
2 Oklahoma (11-1, 17) [3]
3 Iowa (12-0, 88) [4]
4 Alabama (11-1, 27) [2]
5 Michigan St. (11-1, 34) [5]
6 Ohio St. (11-1, 62) [6]
7 North Carolina (11-1, 78) [10]
8 Notre Dame (10-2, 8) [8]
9 Houston (11-1, 104) [19]
10 TCU (10-2, 40) [11]
11 Florida St. (10-2, 51) [9]
12 Oklahoma St. (10-2, 42) [17]
13 Navy (9-2, 50) [23]
14 Stanford (10-2, 55) [7]
15 Baylor (9-2, 60) [12]
16 Florida (10-2, 61) [18]
17 Northwestern (10-2, 57) [14]
18 Toledo (9-2, 82) [NR]
19 Temple (10-2, 92) [22]
20 LSU (8-3, 13) [21]
21 W. Kentucky (10-2, 105) [NR]
22 Ole Miss (9-3, 35) [13]
23 Memphis (9-3, 45) [NR]
24 Appalachian St. (9-2, 125) [NR]
25 Michigan (9-3, 53) [15]
26 Utah (9-3, 58) [24]
27 Oregon (9-3, 56) [16]
28 BYU (9-3, 69) [NR]
29 Bowling Green (9-3, 72) [NR]
30 Georgia (9-3, 77) [NR]
31 Wisconsin (9-3, 91) [25]
32 Pittsburgh (8-4, 5) [NR]
33 USC (8-4, 16) [24]
34 Miami (Fla.) (8-4, 7) [NR]
35 Mississippi St. (8-4, 29) [NR]
36 West Virginia (7-4, 28) [NR]
37 Ga. Southern (8-3, 111) [NR]
38 Tennessee (8-4, 47) [25]
39 Marshall (9-3, 124) [NR]
40 San Diego St. (9-3, 127) [NR]
41 Southern Miss (9-3, 128) [NR]
42 UCLA (8-4, 46) [NR]
43 Arkansas St. (8-3, 115) [NR]
44 Texas A&M (8-4, 59) [NR]
45 South Florida (8-4, 66) [NR]
46 Washington St. (8-4, 75) [NR]
47 Arkansas (7-5, 15) [NR]
48 Northern Illinois (8-4, 93) [NR]
49 California (7-5, 21) [NR]
50 Louisville (7-5, 24) [NR]
51 Ohio (8-4, 94) [NR]
52 Texas Tech (7-5, 22) [NR]
53 Boise St. (8-4, 109) [NR]
54 Air Force (8-4, 113) [NR]
55 W. Michigan (7-5, 37) [NR]
56 Louisiana Tech (8-4, 112) [NR]
57 Cincinnati (7-5, 43) [NR]
58 Penn St. (7-5, 41) [NR]
59 NC State (7-5, 54) [NR]
60 Duke (7-5, 64) [NR]
61 C. Michigan (7-5, 74) [NR]
62 Akron (7-5, 87) [NR]
63 Virginia Tech (6-6, 20) [NR]
64 Washington (6-6, 38) [NR]
65 M. Tenn. St. (7-5, 107) [NR]
66 Auburn (6-6, 26) [NR]
67 Kansas St. (5-6, 32) [NR]
68 Colorado St. (7-5, 119) [NR]
69 New Mexico (7-5, 121) [NR]
70 Arizona St. (6-6, 48) [NR]
71 Indiana (6-6, 49) [NR]
72 Arizona (6-6, 65) [NR]
73 Connecticut (6-6, 67) [NR]
74 Tulsa (6-6, 76) [NR]
75 Utah St. (6-6, 85) [NR]
76 Minnesota (5-7, 18) [NR]
77 Illinois (5-7, 25) [NR]
78 Nebraska (5-7, 31) [NR]
79 Texas (4-7, 9) [NR]
80 Missouri (5-7, 33) [NR]
81 East Carolina (5-7, 52) [NR]
82 Nevada (6-6, 123) [NR]
83 South Alabama (5-6, 100) [NR]
84 Georgia State (5-6, 126) [NR]
85 Virginia (4-8, 6) [NR]
86 Syracuse (4-8, 12) [NR]
87 Kentucky (5-7, 86) [NR]
88 Buffalo (5-7, 89) [NR]
89 Vanderbilt (4-8, 14) [NR]
90 San Jose St. (5-7, 103) [NR]
91 FIU (5-7, 116) [NR]
92 Old Dominion (5-7, 114) [NR]
93 Rice (5-7, 117) [NR]
94 UTEP (5-7, 118) [NR]
95 UL Lafayette (4-7, 120) [NR]
96 Georgia Tech (3-9, 4) [NR]
97 Rutgers (4-8, 70) [NR]
98 Iowa St. (3-9, 2) [NR]
99 Maryland (3-9, 1) [NR]
100 Wake Forest (3-9, 11) [NR]
101 Boston College (3-9, 30) [NR]
102 Idaho (4-8, 101) [NR]
103 South Carolina (3-9, 36) [NR]
104 Troy (3-8, 98) [NR]
105 New Mexico St. (3-8, 97) [NR]
106 Colorado (4-9, 68) [NR]
107 Texas State (3-8, 106) [NR]
108 Ball St. (3-9, 63) [NR]
109 Kent St. (3-9, 71) [NR]
110 Purdue (2-10, 10) [NR]
111 Massachusetts (3-9, 84) [NR]
112 Tulane (3-9, 79) [NR]
113 Miami (Ohio) (3-9, 80) [NR]
114 Fresno St. (3-9, 83) [NR]
115 FAU (3-9, 96) [NR]
116 UNLV (3-9, 99) [NR]
117 SMU (2-10, 19) [NR]
118 Oregon St. (2-10, 23) [NR]
119 UTSA (3-9, 108) [NR]
120 Army West Point (2-9, 122) [NR]
121 Hawaii (3-10, 95) [NR]
122 Wyoming (2-10, 90) [NR]
123 Charlotte (2-10, 110) [NR]
124 La.-Monroe (1-11, 81) [NR]
125 North Texas (1-11, 73) [NR]
126 Kansas (0-12, 3) [NR]
127 E. Michigan (1-11, 102) [NR]
128 UCF (0-12, 44) [NR]